The 747 nearly killed Boeing

The 747 programme took Boeing to the brink. Employment fell by more than 60 percent between 1967 and 1971, and Seattle went into a deep recession.

The 747 is remembered as one of the most successful aircraft ever built. It very nearly destroyed the company that built it.

The size of the bet

Boeing committed to an aircraft larger than anything flying, on a roughly four-year schedule, and had to build the world’s largest building to assemble it in — clearing forest at Everett while the design was still being finished.

Doing that required borrowing around $2 billion, something like $20 billion in today’s money. It was, in the phrase of the time, a bet-the-company decision, and the banks were exposed alongside Boeing.

The engineering team under Joe Sutter delivered the aircraft in about 28 months and became known as “the Incredibles”. The financial side did not go as well.

The Boeing Bust

The debt came due exactly as the market collapsed. Airliner demand fell sharply at the end of the 1960s, orders dried up, and the JT9D engine problems meant early aircraft sat at Everett without engines, unable to be delivered or paid for.

Boeing began cutting in 1969, and kept cutting.

Peak employment, 1967 100,800
Employment, April 1971 38,690
Workforce lost more than 60 percent

Seattle went into a deep local recession, since the region’s economy was heavily dependent on one employer.

The billboard

On 16 April 1971, two Seattle estate agents, Bob McDonald and Jim Youngren, put up a billboard near Sea-Tac airport reading:

Will the last person leaving SEATTLE — Turn out the lights

It was meant as a joke, and it became the defining image of the period. McDonald later said out-of-town clients had arrived expecting a ghost town with weeds in the streets, and the pair had wanted to answer that with humour.

The 747 was flying by then. The company that built it was down to a third of its people.

How it turned out

Boeing survived, orders recovered, and the 747 went on to sell 1,574 aircraft over 54 years — the last delivered in January 2023.

But it is worth being precise about what nearly went wrong. The 747 was not a bad aircraft that got lucky. It was a good aircraft that arrived with enormous debt attached at the exact moment its market paused — and the pause lasted longer than the balance sheet could comfortably take.

That is also why the same company never launched the 747X in 1996 when a new wing was costed at over $5 billion, and why the 747-8 reused as much as it could. Boeing had learned exactly what a clean-sheet very large aircraft costs.

Frequently asked questions

Did the Boeing 747 nearly bankrupt Boeing?
Yes. Developing the 747 required Boeing to borrow around $2 billion — some $20 billion in today's money — and when airliner sales collapsed at the same time, the company came close to failing. Employment fell from a peak of 100,800 in 1967 to 38,690 by April 1971.